Ah! les sondages

Ce blog s'intéresse à la méthodologie des sondages publiés dans les media, particulièrement aux sondages électoraux. Il s'intéresse aux biais possibles des sondages. This blog deals with survey methodology, particularly as it applies to electoral polls. It is interested in poll bias.

Qu'est-ce qu'une marge d'erreur, comment la calculer?

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vendredi 28 octobre 2016

USA2016: Is the race tightening? It's all about mode

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Hi, In this post, I examine whether the actual race between Clinton and Trump is really tightening as some suggest these days. D'abo...

USA2016: Is the race tightening? It's all about mode

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Hi, In this post, I examine whether the actual race between Clinton and Trump is really tightening as some suggest these days. D'abo...

mardi 28 juin 2016

Brexit: why and how were we misled? The modes again

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Hi, Since Friday, besides being angry at not forecasting the likely results, I ask myself how come. I thought that this required further a...

vendredi 24 juin 2016

Brexit: we should have known better

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Hi, Well, Quebec voted no to leave Canada, Scotland, no to leave UK and then UK leaves the EU. It is a bit ironic when you see it from Que...

4 commentaires:

jeudi 23 juin 2016

Brexit, an update that changes things a bit

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Hi, I was not supposed to update unless there was some substantial change. Since yesterday, we added 10 new polls, i.e., those who were pu...

mercredi 22 juin 2016

Brexit, the day before

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Hi, In this last analysis before election day, I use only the polls that were conducted during the campaign, i.e., from April 15 to June 2...

mardi 14 juin 2016

Brexit: It's all about modes?

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Hi, We are close to entering the last week of the campaign. I will present an update of my last week analysis but, for this post, I will m...

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Qui suis-je

Claire Durand: Claire Durand est professeur titulaire au département de sociologie de l'Université de Montréal. Elle a été présidente de WAPOR (World Association for Public Opinion Research). Claire Durand is professor at the department of sociology, Université de Montréal. She has been president of WAPOR (World Association for Public Opinion Research)

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